{"id":437,"date":"2021-09-23T15:05:22","date_gmt":"2021-09-23T18:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/?p=437"},"modified":"2022-07-08T12:16:25","modified_gmt":"2022-07-08T15:16:25","slug":"financial-econometrics-of-cryptocurrency-markets-modeling-and-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/financial-econometrics-of-cryptocurrency-markets-modeling-and-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"Financial Econometrics of Cryptocurrency Markets: Modeling and Forecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The global digital currency market has grown rapidly in recent years, mainly as a result of<br \/>\nadvances in blockchain technologies, which have ensured greater security for transactions.<br \/>\nThe total market capitalization value of traded cryptocurrencies went from USD 7 billion in<br \/>\nearly 2016 to USD 8.4 trillion in early 2021. Like stocks, bonds, commodities and derivatives,<br \/>\ndigital currencies have also been used by market agents in portfolio diversification and in<br \/>\nrisk management. In this context, the modeling and forecasting of cryptocurrencies prices<br \/>\nare of fundamental importance. This research project aims to evaluate the financial<br \/>\neconometrics of cryptocurrency markets based on the investigation of the following topics:<br \/>\ni) price discovery in different exchanges; ii) modeling the volatility of price returns; iii)<br \/>\ndevelopment of artificial intelligence and machine learning models for price and direction<br \/>\nforecasting; iv) study of fractal properties and market efficiency; v) risk management<br \/>\nthrough symbolic analysis using interval modeling; and vi) management and diversification<br \/>\nof investment portfolios with digital currencies. The research aims to study and<br \/>\ncharacterize, within the framework of modern financial econometrics, the main global<br \/>\ndigital currency markets, in order to contribute to the academic literature and also to<br \/>\npromote analysis and management tools for market practitioners interested in<br \/>\ncryptocurrencies trading.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Principal Investigator and Coordinator:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-411 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-250x250.jpg 250w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-174x174.jpg 174w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-45x45.jpg 45w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2-200x200.jpg 200w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/03\/LeandroMaciel2.jpg 713w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Leandro dos Santos Maciel (FEAUSP)<br \/>\nProfessor of Finance, Department of Business, Faculty of Economics, Business and<br \/>\nAccounting, University of S\u00e3o Paulo<br \/>\nE-mail: leandromaciel@usp.br<br \/>\nCV (in portuguese): http:\/\/lattes.cnpq.br\/8223366539713305<br \/>\nResearchGate: https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/profile\/Leandro-Maciel<br \/>\nORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1900-7179<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Associate Researchers:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-466\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1-146x300.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"146\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1-146x300.jpeg 146w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1-498x1024.jpeg 498w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1-292x600.jpeg 292w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/FotoPerfil2020-1.jpeg 622w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 146px) 100vw, 146px\" \/><\/a>Heitor Teixeira Couto Campos &#8211; Undergraduate Student &#8211; Mechanical Engineering (EESC-USP). E-mail: heitortccampos@usp.br<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-442 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-223x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"223\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-223x300.jpg 223w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-760x1024.jpg 760w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-768x1034.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-1140x1536.jpg 1140w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-1520x2048.jpg 1520w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-400x539.jpg 400w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Gustavo-1-scaled.jpg 1901w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 223px) 100vw, 223px\" \/><\/a>Gustavo Franzener Gon\u00e7alves da Silva \u2013 Undergraduate Student &#8211; Mechatronic<br \/>\nEngineering (POLI). E-mail: gusfgs@usp.br<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Luiz.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-443 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Luiz-180x300.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Luiz-180x300.jpeg 180w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Luiz-360x600.jpeg 360w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Luiz.jpeg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/a> Luiz Henrique Pires Clemente \u2013 Undergraduate Student \u2013 Mechatronic Engineering<br \/>\n(POLI). E-mail: luizhclemente@usp.br<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-441 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas-225x300.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"225\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas-225x300.jpeg 225w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas-768x1024.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas-400x533.jpeg 400w, https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/545\/2021\/09\/Lukas.jpeg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 225px) 100vw, 225px\" \/><\/a>Lukas Gherman da Silva \u2013 Undergraduate Student \u2013 Business Administration<br \/>\n(FEAUSP). E-mail: lukasgherman@usp.br<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The global digital currency market has grown rapidly in recent years, mainly as a result of advances in blockchain technologies, which have ensured greater security for transactions. The total market capitalization value of traded cryptocurrencies went from USD 7 billion in early 2016 to USD 8.4 trillion in early 2021. Like stocks, bonds, commodities and<a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/financial-econometrics-of-cryptocurrency-markets-modeling-and-forecasting\/\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":178,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3,4,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-destaques","category-noticias","category-research-pesquisa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/178"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=437"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":469,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437\/revisions\/469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=437"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=437"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/ubri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=437"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}