May 22th Camila Espezio

Next Tuesday, May 22th, Camila Espezio, master candidate advised by Prof. Alexandre Igari, will present her seminar in room T1, building M1 at 12:30.

Abstract:

The Theory of Forest Transition states that forest recover arises from changes in the focus of the economy, where the service and industry sectors replace the agriculture sector. Critics affirm that the transition occurs through the displacement of agricultural production abroad, while producing countries go through an expansion of agriculture, losing forest cover. Other authors refute the idea that international trade would be the primary linkage between the Forest Transition occurrence in importing countries and the advance of agricultural frontiers in producing countries. Considering the divergence between explanatory models, this study seeks to assess whether the international trade of agricultural commodities promotes the displacement of deforestation areas from importing countries to commodity-exporting countries. Data of exports and imports of soya bean and palm oil among the main countries in these markets will be confronted to the historical variation of forest cover in these countries between 1990 and 2015. Preliminary results point out significant correlation between commodity exports and forest loss and also between imports and forest expansion.